Thinking of the future
As Advent begins, we are drawn into a time of reflection that bridges past and future. It is a season of dual focus: we revisit the ancient story of a child born in Bethlehem while also contemplating what lies ahead. Advent is not just about preparing for Christmas; it invites us to consider the uncertainties and promises of the future. But in this forward glance, we are reminded of a profound truth: predicting the future is notoriously fraught with difficulties.
Human history is littered with failed predictions, from technological forecasts that overestimated the pace of innovation to political projections that fell apart in the face of unforeseen events. Even the most informed speculations can unravel with a single unforeseen development. This is especially true in today’s world, where rapid change and global interconnectedness create a kaleidoscope of possibilities, each one harder to pin down than the last.
Next week, I’ll be working on TPEX Futures Thinking 2025, an exercise in horizon scanning that aims to map potential futures. Of course such exercises must often be conducted at the last minute to remain relevant hence the last week before holiday. Scenarios that seemed plausible even days before can lose their grounding in light of new data or events. The process of anticipating the future highlights not just our ingenuity but also our limitations.
Advent reminds us of the paradox of time itself. As we prepare for Christmas, we are steeped in the richness of history, while our hearts are drawn toward promises yet to be fulfilled. The act of looking forward, whether to Christmas morning or to the long arc of human destiny, is a humbling exercise. It asks us to embrace both hope and humility, acknowledging that while we may peer into the future, it remains shrouded in mystery.